Gaza political survey

Academic Analysis of Gaza Political and Security Survey Results

This comprehensive survey of 469 respondents examines political attitudes, security perceptions, and governance satisfaction in Gaza and the West Bank. The data reveals key insights into public opinion regarding government response to security threats, conflict-resolution preferences, leadership satisfaction, and future expectations under current conditions.

Demographic Distribution

  • Total respondents: 469

  • Gaza Strip: 87.85% (n=412)

  • West Bank: 11.30% (n=53)

  • Other locations: 0.85% (n=4)

This distribution provides substantial representation from Gaza while including West Bank perspectives for comparative analysis.

Government Response to Security Threats (Gaza)

  • Disagree entirely: 66.95% (n=314)

  • Moderate/partially effective: 20.68% (n=97)

  • Very effective: 8.96% (n=42)

  • Other/No answer: 3.41% (n=16)

The high dissatisfaction (≈67%) indicates a significant legitimacy crisis in security governance and public confidence in official response mechanisms.

Conflict Resolution Preferences (Gaza)

  • Diplomacy and negotiations: 49.68% (n=233)

  • Other approaches: 20.47% (n=96)

  • Continued resistance: 12.58% (n=59)

  • Reliance on the international community: 12.15% (n=57)

  • Other/No answer: 5.12% (n=24)

The plurality preference for diplomacy suggests broad support for peaceful mechanisms, while the combined alternatives (32.2%) reflect diverse strategic thinking.

External Leadership and Conflict Extension

  • Yes, extends conflict outside Gaza: 56.93% (n=267)

  • No: 41.15% (n=193)

  • Other/No answer: 1.92% (n=9)

A near-majority (≈57%) believe external leadership prolongs conflict, signaling skepticism toward external actors’ roles and motivations.

Satisfaction with Negotiation Management

  • Completely dissatisfied: 76.55% (n=359)

  • Somewhat satisfied: 11.73% (n=55)

  • Completely satisfied: 10.23% (n=48)

  • Other/No answer: 1.49% (n=7)

The overwhelming dissatisfaction indicates a profound crisis of confidence in negotiation capabilities and diplomatic leadership.

Satisfaction with Wartime Decision-Making

  • Completely dissatisfied: 77.40% (n=363)

  • Somewhat satisfied: 10.87% (n=51)

  • Completely satisfied: 10.66% (n=50)

  • Other/No answer: 1.07% (n=5)

The near-identical pattern of dissatisfaction suggests systemic, not merely situational, concerns.

Future Expectations Under the Status Quo

  • Further deterioration: 71.86% (n=337)

  • Social collapse: 21.75% (n=102)

  • Improvement: 5.33% (n=25)

  • Other/No answer: 1.07% (n=5)

The combined negative expectations (≈93.61%) reveal deep pessimism about the current trajectory and a perceived need for alternatives.

Public Influence on Political Decisions (Gaza)

  • No influence: 62.47% (n=293)

  • Have influence: 19.40% (n=91)

  • Potential influence, but limited: 16.84% (n=79)

  • Other/No answer: 1.28% (n=6)

A significant majority perceiving no influence points to a democratic deficit and alienation from decision-making.

Representation of Aspirations and Needs

  • Resistance does not represent their aspirations: 69.94% (n=328)

  • Leadership fully represents their aspirations: 14.50% (n=68)

  • Partial representation exists: 13.22% (n=62)

  • Other/No answer: 2.35% (n=11)

The large share feeling unrepresented suggests a disconnect between organized political activities and public priorities.

Key Insights and Conclusions

  • Governance crisis: Persistent dissatisfaction across security, negotiations, and wartime decisions indicates systemic governance challenges.

  • Diplomatic preference: Nearly half favor diplomatic solutions, showing latent support for peaceful resolution.

  • Democratic deficit: A majority feel they lack influence over political decisions, raising legitimacy concerns.

  • Representation gap: Nearly 70% feel current resistance does not reflect their aspirations.

  • Pessimistic trajectory: Over 93% expect negative outcomes if conditions persist, underscoring the urgency of alternative approaches.

  • External skepticism: A majority see external actors as prolonging conflict, implying a need for more credible mediation and reduced dependency on external solutions.

Where are you from?

In your opinion, what would contribute most to improving the local economy?

How do you evaluate the government’s response to the security threat in the Gaza Strip?

What is the best way to end the war in the Gaza Strip?

Do you think it is easier for external leadership to extend the duration of fighting when they are outside the Gaza Strip?

Are you satisfied with Khalil Al-Hayya’s performance in managing the negotiations?

Are you satisfied with Khalil Al-Hayya’s decision-making during the war in Gaza?

What do you think will happen if the current situation in Gaza remains the same?

Do you believe that Gaza residents can influence political decisions that affect their lives?

Does the resistance represent your aspirations and needs?

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